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Inflation Rise and Its Impact on Mortgage Rates

Inflation has risen to 2.9%, raising concerns about potential mortgage rate hikes.

By David Sampson
23 August 2026
3 min read
UK mortgage rates article image for Inflation Rise and Its Impact on Mortgage Rates

TL;DR

  • Inflation reached 2.9% in July, prompting speculation about interest rate hikes.
  • borrowers may face higher mortgage costs as lenders adjust rates ahead of the Bank of England s next meeting.

Written by David Sampson for Mortgage118. Last updated 23 August 2026. Reviewed against our editorial standards. Editorial standards. Mortgage118 is a directory — not FCA-authorised and not a mortgage adviser.

Inflation has surged to 2.9% in July, raising concerns about potential increases in mortgage rates. This uptick, driven primarily by the rise in the Ofgem energy price cap, suggests that the Bank of England may consider raising interest rates to combat inflation, which is now moving further away from the 2% target.

What factors contributed to the inflation increase?

The recent rise in inflation can be attributed mainly to the increased Ofgem energy price cap, which has significantly impacted the Consumer Prices Index (CPI). After a dip to 2.6% the previous month, this jump indicates that inflationary pressures are still present within the economy. This situation raises questions about the Bank of England’s monetary policy and its response to these inflationary trends.

How might the Bank of England respond regarding mortgage rates?

With inflation now exceeding the Bank of England’s target, it is likely that the central bank will consider raising interest rates to control inflation. In the last meeting, three out of nine members expressed a desire to increase rates to 4%. The next meeting on 17 September will be important for determining the future direction of monetary policy and, consequently, mortgage rates.

What does this mean for borrowers and mortgage rates?

For borrowers, the rise in inflation could lead to increased mortgage costs. As lenders often begin to adjust their rates in anticipation of a Bank of England decision, those whose current mortgage deals are set to expire soon may find themselves facing higher rates if they delay refinancing. Ben Thompson from the Mortgage Advice Bureau emphasised that waiting for the Bank’s announcement could result in missing out on more favourable deals available beforehand.

What this means for investors and landlords

Investors and landlords should be particularly attentive to these developments. Higher mortgage rates could increase borrowing costs, impacting overall investment returns. It may be prudent for those looking to expand their property portfolios to act quickly, as lenders may start repricing their products in response to inflation data and anticipated interest rate hikes.

Frequently asked questions

Will mortgage rates rise immediately due to inflation?

While inflation has increased, any immediate rise in mortgage rates will depend on the Bank of England’s decisions in upcoming meetings. Lenders may begin adjusting rates in anticipation of these decisions.

How can I prepare for potential mortgage rate increases?

Borrowers should consider reviewing their mortgage options and possibly refinancing sooner rather than later to secure more favourable rates before any potential increases occur.

About David Sampson

David Sampson writes about the UK mortgage market for Mortgage118, covering specialist lending, market trends, and practical advice for borrowers. All content is reviewed for accuracy against FCA guidelines and current market data.