TL;DR
- •The Bank of England base rate remains at 3.75% as of April 2026, with a potential increase on the horizon.
- •This could significantly impact mortgage borrowers..
- •This decision, influenced by the inflationary impact of the Middle East conflict, has significant implications for mortgage borrowers.
As of April 2026, the Bank of England base rate remains at 3.75%, with market participants suggesting a potential increase shouldn’t be ruled out. This decision, influenced by the inflationary impact of the Middle East conflict, has significant implications for mortgage borrowers.
Impact on Mortgage Borrowers
Scenario 1: First-Time Buyer
Consider a first-time buyer with a £300,000 repayment mortgage at 90% LTV. With the base rate at 3.75%, their monthly payments would be approximately £1,398. If the base rate were to increase to 4.25% by the end of the year, as some predict, their monthly payments could rise to £1,472, an increase of £74 per month or £888 per year. This increase could significantly impact their budget, making it more difficult to save for other financial goals.
Scenario 2: Remortgager
Now, let’s examine a remortgager with a £200,000 repayment mortgage at 75% LTV. At the current base rate of 3.75%, their monthly payments stand at £926. A potential increase to 4.25% would see their monthly payments rise to £983, costing an additional £57 per month or £684 annually. This rise could affect their financial planning, potentially requiring them to adjust their spending or savings habits.
Scenario 3: Landlord on Interest-Only Mortgage
For a landlord with a £200,000 interest-only buy-to-let mortgage, the current base rate of 3.75% means their monthly payments are around £625. If the base rate increases to 4.25%, their monthly payments would rise to approximately £708, an increase of £83 per month or £996 per year. This could impact their rental yield and overall profitability, especially if they are unable to pass on the increased costs to tenants.
Market Context
Before the Middle East conflict began, lenders were pricing in a March base rate cut and expected at least one other reduction during 2026. However, the war has triggered the biggest jump in petrol and diesel for more than three years, causing inflation to rise to 3.3% in the year to March, up from 3% in February. This has shifted the market’s outlook, with rates now more likely to go up than down.
For context, 12 months ago, in April 2025, the base rate was lower, at 3.25%. At that time, inflation was also lower, at 2.8%. The current situation represents a significant shift in the market, with the base rate and inflation both higher than they were a year ago. This shift has been driven by external factors such as the Middle East conflict, which has led to increased energy prices and higher inflation.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current base rate?
As of April 2026, the Bank of England base rate is 3.75%.
How could a base rate increase affect my mortgage payments?
An increase in the base rate would likely lead to higher mortgage repayments. For example, a rise from 3.75% to 4.25% could add £57 per month to a £200,000 repayment mortgage at 75% LTV.
What is driving the potential increase in the base rate?
The potential increase in the base rate is driven by rising inflation, which has been influenced by the recent conflict in the Middle East and its impact on energy prices.
When is the next Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee meeting?
The next Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee meeting is scheduled for 18 June 2026.
About David Sampson
David Sampson writes about the UK mortgage market for Mortgage118, covering specialist lending, market trends, and practical advice for borrowers. All content is reviewed for accuracy against FCA guidelines and current market data.