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House Prices Set to Rise by Over 60% by 2036

House prices in the UK could rise by 61.1% by 2036, impacting first-time buyers significantly.

By David Sampson
21 June 2026
3 min read
UK first time buyer mortgage article image for House Prices Set to Rise by Over 60% by 2036

TL;DR

  • House prices could increase by 61.1% by 2036, with first-time buyers needing up to £70k for deposits.
  • this raises challenges for affordability and saving.

Written by David Sampson for Mortgage118. Last updated 21 June 2026. Reviewed against our editorial standards. Editorial standards. Mortgage118 is a directory — not FCA-authorised and not a mortgage adviser.

House prices in the UK are projected to rise significantly over the next decade, with estimates suggesting an increase of 61.1% by 2036. This surge will have profound implications for first-time buyers, who may need to save longer and contribute larger deposits to secure their homes.

How Much Will House Prices Increase?

According to recent analysis, semi-detached properties are expected to see the largest price increase, rising from an average of £288,607 to £465,040 by 2036. This represents a staggering 61.1% increase. First-time buyers aiming for a semi-detached home will need to save a 10% deposit of approximately £46,504, which is projected to take around 7.9 years based on anticipated earnings.

What About Other Property Types?

Terraced houses are also forecasted to experience a significant price rise of 60.6%, bringing their average price to £385,616. Buyers will need to save a deposit of £38,562, taking an estimated 6.6 years to accumulate based on projected income. Detached homes are projected to reach an average price of £691,755, marking a 51.7% increase from their current price of £455,941. Buyers will face a daunting deposit requirement of £69,176, which could equate to nearly 12 years of earnings.

Flats and maisonettes are expected to see a more modest increase of 35.9%, with average prices rising from £205,736 to £279,605. First-time buyers would need to save an average deposit of £27,961, which could take around 4.8 years to save based on future salary projections.

What This Means for First-Time Buyers

The projected increases in house prices and deposits indicate that first-time buyers will face escalating challenges in the coming years. With the average deposit for a first-time buyer expected to rise to £45,551 by 2036 and potentially £67,000 by 2045, affordability will be a growing concern. In particular, regions like Manchester are predicted to remain among the areas where it takes the longest to save for a deposit, further complicating homeownership aspirations.

For many potential buyers, the prospect of purchasing a home may seem increasingly out of reach. As prices rise, the need for strategic financial planning and savings will be critical. First-time buyers should consider exploring various mortgage options, including residential mortgages, to find solutions that align with their financial capabilities.

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors are driving the increase in house prices?

The increase in house prices is driven by a combination of factors, including limited housing supply, rising demand, and economic conditions that influence buyer confidence and purchasing power.

How can first-time buyers prepare for these changes?

First-time buyers can prepare by assessing their financial situation, setting realistic savings goals for deposits, and exploring mortgage options that may offer assistance or lower deposit requirements.

About David Sampson

David Sampson writes about the UK mortgage market for Mortgage118, covering specialist lending, market trends, and practical advice for borrowers. All content is reviewed for accuracy against FCA guidelines and current market data.

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