The demand for tracker and variable mortgages has surged, doubling in recent months as borrowers react to rising fixed mortgage rates. This shift is largely attributed to the economic impact of the ongoing conflict in Iran, which has led to increased funding costs and inflationary pressures on mortgage rates.
What is Driving the Demand for Tracker Mortgages?
Recent data from Moneyfactscompare.uk indicates a significant shift in borrower preferences, with two-year fixed rates experiencing an 8% increase in popularity from September 2025 to April 2026. Their market share rose from 6% to 13%, marking a 116% increase. This change is largely due to the war in Iran, which has caused fixed mortgage rates to spike by over 1% in March 2026. As the situation stabilised in April, tracker and variable rates became more appealing.
How Do Tracker and Variable Mortgages Work?
Tracker mortgages have interest rates that fluctuate in line with the Bank of England Base Rate, while variable rates also respond to similar economic indicators. With fixed rates rising rapidly, many borrowers are now considering these alternatives, which typically start at lower rates. This shift reflects a growing sentiment among borrowers that the current spike in interest rates may be temporary.
What This Means for Borrowers
For borrowers, the doubling demand for tracker and variable mortgages signals a willingness to embrace potential risks in exchange for lower initial costs. With five-year fixed rates increasing by more than 70 basis points since February, many are opting for shorter two-year deals, hoping that rates will ease in the near future. This trend is particularly relevant for first-time buyers and those looking to remortgage, as they weigh the benefits of lower initial payments against the uncertainty of future rate movements.
What Should Investors Watch Next?
Investors and landlords should monitor the ongoing geopolitical situation and its potential impact on interest rates. The recent ceasefire in Iran has led to some stabilisation in mortgage rates, but any resurgence in conflict could again affect borrowing costs. Additionally, keeping an eye on the Bank of England’s decisions regarding the Base Rate will be important for understanding future mortgage trends.
Frequently Asked Questions
Why are fixed mortgage rates rising?
Fixed mortgage rates are rising due to increased funding costs driven by inflationary pressures, largely influenced by geopolitical events such as the conflict in Iran.
Are tracker mortgages a good option right now?
Tracker mortgages can be a good option for borrowers seeking lower initial rates, especially as fixed rates have risen sharply. However, borrowers should consider the potential for future rate increases.